“...The changes to mortgage insurance criteria are unnecessarily jeopardizing the health of Canada’s housing markets and the broader economy.” That’s the conclusion from economist Will Dunning in CAAMP’s just-released State of the Residential Mortgage Market report. (Link) Dunning says his research suggests the Finance Department has created “a policy-induced housing market downturn” that could reinforce existing weakness. He calculates that the most recent (July 2012) rule changes will knock 11% of potential high-ratio homebuyers out of the market—that is, until they can come up with more net income or a bigger down payment. He lays out the following arguments: Jobs underpin the market… “Job creation is the key driver of housing demand” writes Dunning. “The ‘housing wealth’ effect (the increased confidence, and willingness to spend and invest, that results from rising house prices) is the single most important driver of job creation” What’s more, in the p...
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